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Rapid, climate-driven changes in outlet glaciers on the Pacific coast of East Antarctica

机译:由气候驱动的南极东部太平洋沿岸冰川的快速变化

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摘要

Observations of ocean-terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland and West Antarctica¹⁻⁶ indicate that their contribution to sea level is accelerating as a result of increased velocity, thinning and retreat⁷⁻¹¹. Thinning has also been reported along the margin of the much larger East Antarctic ice sheet¹, but whether glaciers are advancing or retreating there is largely unknown, and there has been no attempt to place such changes in the context of localized mass loss⁷’⁹ or climatic or oceanic forcing. Here we present multidecadal trends in the terminus position of 175 ocean-terminating outlet glaciers along 5,400 kilometres of the margin of the East Antarctic ice sheet, and reveal widespread and synchronous changes. Despite large fluctuations between glaciers—linked to their size—three epochal patterns emerged: 63 per cent of glaciers retreated from 1974 to 1990, 72 per cent advanced from 1990 to 2000, and 58 per cent advanced from 2000 to 2010. These trends were most pronounced along the warmer western South Pacific coast, whereas glaciers along the cooler Ross Sea coast experienced no significant changes. We find that glacier change along the Pacific coast is consistent with a rapid and coherent response to air temperature and sea-ice trends, linked through the dominant mode of atmospheric variability (the Southern Annular Mode). We conclude that parts of the world’s largest ice sheet may be more vulnerable to external forcing than recognized previously.
机译:在格陵兰岛和南极洲西部的海洋终止出口冰川的观察表明,由于速度增加,变薄和向后退缩11,它们对海平面的贡献正在加速。据报道,东极南极冰原大得多,边缘一带正在变薄,但是,冰川是在前进还是在后退,这一点在很大程度上尚不清楚,也没有试图在局部质量损失或气候的背景下进行这种改变。或海洋强迫。在这里,我们展示了南极东部冰原边缘5400公里处的175个终止海洋的出口冰川的终点位置的十年变化趋势,并揭示了广泛而同步的变化。尽管冰川之间存在很大的波动(与它们的大小有关),但还是出现了三种时代格局:1974年至1990年退缩的冰川占63%,1990年至2000年退缩的冰川占72%,2000年至2010年退缩的冰川占58%。在南太平洋西部较温暖的沿海地区明显发声,而在较凉爽的罗斯海沿岸的冰川没有明显变化。我们发现,太平洋沿岸的冰川变化与对大气温度和海冰趋势的快速而一致的响应是一致的,这通过大气可变性的主导模式(南部环形模式)联系在一起。我们得出的结论是,世界上最大的冰原部分地区可能比以前认识到的更容易受到外部强迫。

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